Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 3.684056 4.287770 4.926447 5.649247 6.441339 7.279901 8.231676
2024-12-29 2.884729 3.733234 4.692658 5.844178 7.175174 8.652416 10.402895
2025-01-05 2.322940 3.319990 4.517459 6.029043 7.854111 9.956197 12.529568
2025-01-12 1.866249 2.939847 4.305287 6.109388 8.371710 11.059701 14.438826
2025-01-19 1.465303 2.553096 4.018525 6.041320 8.668143 11.877338 16.006299
2025-01-26 1.217217 2.327002 3.900821 6.155993 9.170458 12.936728 17.871801
2025-02-02 1.017187 2.132270 3.793868 6.258827 9.640612 13.950068 19.686943
2025-02-09 0.795307 1.859030 3.536556 6.121889 9.768857 14.513182 20.932567
2025-02-16 0.618016 1.621813 3.299520 5.983798 9.872074 15.028678 22.110880
2025-02-23 0.502696 1.470240 3.174532 5.991478 10.164386 15.787532 23.605332
2025-03-02 0.390792 1.297094 2.990533 5.889611 10.286681 16.310519 24.790379
2025-03-09 0.345689 1.254349 3.021731 6.118069 10.886093 17.486793 26.851537
2025-03-16 0.278209 1.145343 2.927164 6.145747 11.200580 18.292717 28.454882
2025-03-23 0.251251 1.129106 3.000604 6.449078 11.933455 19.693527 30.881836
2025-03-30 0.221234 1.096526 3.038554 6.693033 12.581624 20.986554 33.181752
2025-04-06 0.183232 1.028804 2.999131 6.801065 13.022093 21.991798 35.101988
2025-04-13 0.138871 0.922465 2.867031 6.737855 13.190984 22.608987 36.494714
2025-04-20 0.114807 0.872765 2.846327 6.866102 13.658733 23.658667 38.493673
2025-04-27 0.093768 0.823615 2.819696 6.979098 14.101110 24.674406 40.453352
2025-05-04 0.064867 0.721563 2.658296 6.832557 14.118352 25.065936 41.541999
2025-05-11 0.043007 0.629350 2.503413 6.684129 14.121971 25.431199 42.592119
2025-05-18 0.030856 0.575574 2.433982 6.692628 14.380519 26.174905 44.182572
2025-05-25 0.019234 0.505626 2.309665 6.582836 14.434161 26.608519 45.332479